1. Disease is multifactorial in nature; difficult to identify one particular cause

 a. Host factors

(1) Immunity to disease/natural resistance

(2) Heredity

(3) Age, gender, race

(4) Physical or morphologic factors

b. Agent factors

(1) Biologic—microbiologic

(2) Chemical—poisons, dosage levels

(3) Physical—environmental exposure

c. Environment factors

(1) Physical—geography and climate

(2) Biologic—animal hosts and vectors

(3) Social —socioeconomic, education, nutrition

2. All factors must be present to be sufficient cause for disease

3. Interplay of these factors is ongoing: to affect the disease, attack at the weakest link

Some Terms

1. Epidemic—a disease of significantly greater prevalence than normal; more than the expected number of cases; a disease that spreads rapidly through a demographic segment of a population

2. Endemic—continuing problem involving normal disease prevalence; the expected number of cases; indigenous to a population or geographic area

3. Pandemic—occurring throughout the population of a country, people, or the world

4. Mortality—death

5. Morbidity—disease

6. Rate—a numerical ratio in which the number of actual occurrences appears as the numerator and number of possible occurrences appears as the denominator, often used in compilation of data concerning the prevalence and incidence of events; measure of time is an intrinsic part of the denominator.

When testing a null hypothesis, two types of errors can occur:

1. Type I Error (False Positive):

   • Definition: This error occurs when the null hypothesis is rejected when it is actually true. In other words, the researcher concludes that there is an effect or difference when none exists.
   • Consequences in Dentistry: For example, a study might conclude that a new dental treatment is effective when it is not, leading to the adoption of an ineffective treatment.

2. Type II Error (False Negative):

   • Definition: This error occurs when the null hypothesis is not rejected when it is actually false. In this case, the researcher fails to detect an effect or difference that is present.
   • Consequences in Dentistry: For instance, a study might conclude that a new dental material is not superior to an existing one when, in reality, it is more effective, potentially preventing the adoption of a beneficial treatment.

Here are some common types of bias encountered in public health dentistry, along with their implications:

1. Selection Bias

Description: This occurs when the individuals included in a study are not representative of the larger population. This can happen due to non-random sampling methods or when certain groups are more likely to be included than others.

Implications:

• If a study on dental care access only includes patients from a specific clinic, the results may not be generalizable to the broader community.
• Selection bias can lead to over- or underestimation of the prevalence of dental diseases or the effectiveness of interventions.

2. Information Bias

Description: This type of bias arises from inaccuracies in the data collected, whether through measurement errors, misclassification, or recall bias.

Implications:

• Recall Bias: Patients may not accurately remember their dental history or behaviors, leading to incorrect data. For example, individuals may underestimate their sugar intake when reporting dietary habits.
• Misclassification: If dental conditions are misdiagnosed or misreported, it can skew the results of a study assessing the effectiveness of a treatment.

3. Observer Bias

Description: This occurs when the researcher’s expectations or knowledge influence the data collection or interpretation process.

Implications:

• If a dentist conducting a study on a new treatment is aware of which patients received the treatment versus a placebo, their assessment of outcomes may be biased.
• Observer bias can lead to inflated estimates of treatment effectiveness or misinterpretation of results.

4. Confounding Bias

Description: Confounding occurs when an outside variable is associated with both the exposure and the outcome, leading to a false association between them.

Implications:

• For example, if a study finds that individuals with poor oral hygiene have higher rates of cardiovascular disease, it may be confounded by lifestyle factors such as smoking or diet, which are related to both oral health and cardiovascular health.
• Failing to control for confounding variables can lead to misleading conclusions about the relationship between dental practices and health outcomes.

5. Publication Bias

Description: This bias occurs when studies with positive or significant results are more likely to be published than those with negative or inconclusive results.

Implications:

• If only studies showing the effectiveness of a new dental intervention are published, the overall understanding of its efficacy may be skewed.
• Publication bias can lead to an overestimation of the benefits of certain treatments or interventions in the literature.

6. Survivorship Bias

Description: This bias occurs when only those who have "survived" a particular process are considered, ignoring those who did not.

Implications:

• In dental research, if a study only includes patients who completed a treatment program, it may overlook those who dropped out due to adverse effects or lack of effectiveness, leading to an overly positive assessment of the treatment.

7. Attrition Bias

Description: This occurs when participants drop out of a study over time, and the reasons for their dropout are related to the treatment or outcome.

Implications:

• If patients with poor outcomes are more likely to drop out of a study evaluating a dental intervention, the final results may show a more favorable outcome than is truly the case.

Addressing Bias in Public Health Dentistry

To minimize bias in public health dentistry research, several strategies can be employed:

• Random Sampling: Use random sampling methods to ensure that the sample is representative of the population.
• Blinding: Implement blinding techniques to reduce observer bias, where researchers and participants are unaware of group assignments.
• Standardized Data Collection: Use standardized protocols for data collection to minimize information bias.
• Statistical Control: Employ statistical methods to control for confounding variables in the analysis.
• Transparency in Reporting: Encourage the publication of all research findings, regardless of the results, to combat publication bias.

A test of significance in dentistry, as in other fields of research, is a statistical method used to determine whether observed results are likely due to chance or if they are statistically significant, meaning that they are reliable and not random. It helps dentists and researchers make inferences about the validity of their hypotheses.

The procedure for conducting a test of significance typically involves the following steps:

1. Formulate a Null Hypothesis (H0) and an Alternative Hypothesis (H1): The null hypothesis is a statement that assumes there is no significant difference between groups or variables being studied, while the alternative hypothesis suggests that there is a significant difference. For example, in a dental study comparing two different toothpaste brands for their effectiveness in reducing plaque, the null hypothesis might be that there is no difference in plaque reduction between the two brands, while the alternative hypothesis would be that one brand is more effective than the other.

2. Choose a significance level (α): This is the probability of incorrectly rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true. Common significance levels are 0.05 (5%) or 0.01 (1%).

3. Determine the sample size: Depending on the research question, power analysis or literature review may help determine the appropriate sample size needed to detect a clinically significant difference.

4. Collect data: Gather data from a sample of patients or subjects under controlled conditions or from existing databases.

5. Calculate test statistics: This involves calculating a value that represents the magnitude of the difference between the observed data and what would be expected if the null hypothesis were true. Common test statistics include the t-test, chi-square test, and ANOVA (Analysis of Variance).

6. Determine the p-value: The p-value is the probability of obtaining the observed results or results more extreme than those observed if the null hypothesis were true. It is calculated based on the test statistic and the chosen significance level.

7. Compare the p-value to the significance level (α): If the p-value is less than the significance level, the result is considered statistically significant. If the p-value is greater than the significance level, the result is not statistically significant, and the null hypothesis is not rejected.

8. Interpret the results: Based on the p-value, make a decision about the null hypothesis. If the p-value is less than the significance level, reject the null hypothesis and accept the alternative hypothesis. If the p-value is greater than the significance level, fail to reject the null hypothesis.

Here is a simplified example of a test of significance applied to dentistry:

Suppose you are comparing two different toothpaste brands to determine if there is a significant difference in their effectiveness in reducing dental plaque. You conduct a study with 50 participants who are randomly assigned to use either brand A or brand B for a month. After a month, you measure the plaque levels of all participants.

1. Null Hypothesis (H0): There is no significant difference in plaque reduction between the two toothpaste brands.
2. Alternative Hypothesis (H1): There is a significant difference in plaque reduction between the two toothpaste brands.
3. Significance Level (α): 0.05

Now, let's say you collected the data and found that the mean plaque reduction for brand A was 25%, with a standard deviation of 5%, and for brand B, the mean was 30%, with a standard deviation of 4%. You could use an independent samples t-test to compare the two groups' means.

4. Calculate the t-statistic: t = (Mean of Brand B - Mean of Brand A) / (Standard Error of the Difference)
5. Find the p-value associated with the calculated t-statistic. If the p-value is less than 0.05, you reject the null hypothesis.

If the p-value is less than 0.05, you can conclude that there is a statistically significant difference in plaque reduction between the two toothpaste brands, supporting the alternative hypothesis that one brand is more effective than the other. This could lead to further research or a change in dental hygiene recommendations.

In dental applications, tests of significance are commonly used in studies examining the effectiveness of different treatments, materials, and procedures. For instance, they can be applied to compare the success rates of different types of dental implants, the efficacy of various tooth whitening methods, or the impact of oral hygiene interventions on periodontal health. Understanding the statistical significance of these findings allows dentists to make evidence-based decisions and recommendations for patient care.

Berkson's Bias is a type of selection bias that occurs in case-control studies, particularly when the cases and controls are selected from a hospital or clinical setting. It arises when the selection of cases (individuals with the disease) and controls (individuals without the disease) is influenced by the presence of other conditions or factors, leading to a distortion in the association between exposure and outcome.

Key Features of Berkson's Bias

1. Hospital-Based Selection: Berkson's Bias typically occurs in studies where both cases and controls are drawn from the same hospital or clinical setting. This can lead to a situation where the controls are not representative of the general population.

2. Association with Other Conditions: Individuals who are hospitalized may have multiple health issues or risk factors that are not present in the general population. This can create a misleading association between the exposure being studied and the disease outcome.

3. Underestimation or Overestimation of Risk: Because the controls may have different health profiles compared to the general population, the odds ratio calculated in the study may be biased. This can lead to either an overestimation or underestimation of the true association between the exposure and the disease.

Example of Berkson's Bias

Consider a study investigating the relationship between smoking and lung cancer, where both cases (lung cancer patients) and controls (patients without lung cancer) are selected from a hospital. If the controls are patients with other diseases that are also related to smoking (e.g., chronic obstructive pulmonary disease), this could lead to Berkson's Bias. The controls may have a higher prevalence of smoking than the general population, which could distort the perceived association between smoking and lung cancer.

Implications of Berkson's Bias

• Misleading Conclusions: Berkson's Bias can lead researchers to draw incorrect conclusions about the relationship between exposures and outcomes, which can affect public health recommendations and clinical practices.
• Generalizability Issues: Findings from studies affected by Berkson's Bias may not be generalizable to the broader population, limiting the applicability of the results.

Mitigating Berkson's Bias

To reduce the risk of Berkson's Bias in research, researchers can:

1. Select Controls from the General Population: Instead of selecting controls from a hospital, researchers can use population-based controls to ensure a more representative sample.

2. Use Multiple Control Groups: Employing different control groups can help identify and account for potential biases.

3. Stratify Analyses: Stratifying analyses based on relevant characteristics (e.g., age, sex, comorbidities) can help to control for confounding factors.

4. Conduct Sensitivity Analyses: Performing sensitivity analyses can help assess how robust the findings are to different assumptions about the data.

Plaque index (PlI)    

    0 = No plaque in the gingival area.
    1 = A thin film of plaque adhering to the free gingival margin and adjacent to the area of the tooth. The plaque is not readily visible, but is recognized by running a periodontal probe across the tooth surface.
    2 = Moderate accumulation of plaque on the gingival margin, within the gingival pocket, and/or adjacent to the tooth surface, which can be observed visually.
    3 = Abundance of soft matter within the gingival pocket and/or adjacent to the tooth surface.

Gingival index (GI)    

    0 = Healthy gingiva.
    1= Mild inflammation: characterized by a slight change in color, edema. No bleeding observed on gentle probing.
    2 = Moderate inflammation: characterized by redness, edema, and glazing. Bleeding on probing observed.
    3 = Severe inflammation: characterized by marked redness and edema. Ulceration with a tendency toward spontaneous bleeding.

Modified gingival index (MGI)    

    0 = Absence of inflammation.
    1 = Mild inflammation: characterized by a slight change in texture of any portion of, but not the entire marginal or papillary gingival unit.
    2 = Mild inflammation: criteria as above, but involving the entire marginal or papillary gingival unit.
    3 = Moderate inflammation: characterized by glazing, redness, edema, and/or hypertrophy of the marginal or papillary gingival unit.
    4 = Severe inflammation: marked redness, edema, and/or hypertrophy of the marginal or papillary gingival unit, spontaneous bleeding, or ulceration.
    
Community periodontal index (CPI)    

    0 = Healthy gingiva.
    1 = Bleeding observed after gentle probing or by visualization.
    2 = Calculus felt during probing, but all of the black area of the probe remains visible (3.5-5.5 mm from ball tip).
    3 = Pocket 4 or 5 mm (gingival margin situated on black area of probe, approximately 3.5-5.5 mm from the probe tip).
    4 = Pocket > 6 mm (black area of probe is not visible).
    
Periodontal screening and recording (PSR)    

    0 = Healthy gingiva. Colored area of the probe remains visible, and no evidence of calculus or defective margins is detected.
    1 = Colored area of the probe remains visible and no evidence of calculus or defective margins is detected, but bleeding on probing is noted.
    2 = Colored area of the probe remains visible and calculus or defective margins is detected.
    3 = Colored area of the probe remains partly visible (probe depth between 3.5-5.5 mm).
    4 = Colored area of the probe completely disappears (probe depth > 5.5 mm).